Two weeks before elections in Brazil, Lula leads Bolsonaro
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, former president of Brazil and candidate of the Workers’ Party (PT) for the Presidency of Brazil, could obtain in the first round of the elections on October 2 up to 47 percent of the votes against the Party. Liberal (PL) of the Brazilian president, Jair Bolsonarowhich would reach 31 percent, according to a survey released by the consulting firm Ipec on Monday night.
The advantage of Lula da Silva about Bolsonaro has increased with respect to the previous survey, carried out a week ago by the same institute, which indicated that the former president could obtain 46 percent support compared to 31 for the current president.
Therefore, support for Lula has increased one percentage point compared to last week, reaching a difference of 16 points according to data from the poll collected by ‘Folha de S.Paulo’.
Likewise, the people consulted by Ipec have indicated that in a second round they would support the candidate of the PT by 54 percent, compared to 35 percent of support for Bolsonaro.
The difference between the two has gone from 16 to 17 points in relation to last week’s survey, when Lula and Bolsonaro had 52 and 36 percent, respectively.
In the first round, after Lula and Bolsonaro, the former minister follows Cyrus Gomes (Democratic Labor Party, PDT), with 7 percent, and Senator Simone Tebbet (Brazilian Democratic Movement, MDB-MS), with 5 percent.
Ipec has surveyed 3,008 Brazilians between September 17 and 18, with a margin of error of two percentage points and a confidence level of 95 percent.
In the Brazilian elections it is necessary to obtain an absolute majority in the first round so that it is not necessary to hold a few seconds elections in which to choose between the two candidates more supported.
For this reason, and taking into account the possible margin of error in the poll, it is difficult to predict whether Lula could reach more than 50 percent of the vote, despite the fact that week after week he gathers more and more support.