The dilemma of the Electrical Reform or Counter-Reform. American interests
Jorge Miguel Ramirez Perez.
The verbiage with which each country wants to lead or with which they manipulate it to sweeten ears, is irrelevant when talking and talking, but the mechanisms of geopolitical reality and the interests attached to it are not affected. That's where the issue of energy goes, in Mexico.
It is common place to make castles in the air with speeches that move the timid, it has always been used to defend the revolution, its institutions and then Mexico, its resources.
The Mexican government has ample history of being vigilant against the enemies of the country, the reaction, the emissaries of the past, now they are the conservatives and the neoliberals, all simple ghosts against whom curses are unleashed and fatal decisions are made with any pretext, like that of López Portillo: "they will not loot us again." And the Mexican bank was lost, until now.
Reality always sooner or later imposes itself against rural dreams.
These days we are going to see what this mess that the current regime proposes as an electrical reform is about, if it is a regression to the control of the state of energy processes; that, in fact, it continues to retain them or the facts are going to be deepened, the energy interrelation with the North American bloc to which we belong.
Because so far what we have heard are complaints of abuses against companies, one of them Iberdrola, in which Felipe Calderón provided his services; but apart from demonizing it, no specific or widely disseminated data have been slipped about the evil of said company. Fraud, financially dirty maneuvers, which deserve alarming and indignant details. We have been waiting for three years for evidence, but either it is out there, hidden, or it is simply a secret that is hidden.
It is heard that it is necessary to rescue CFE and PEMEX, scrap metals with no future, over-indebted, full of gilded bureaucracies and dominated by corrupt and abusive unions.
It is repeated that they are Mexican companies, it is not said that they are the most corrupt companies in the country. Hundreds, yes hundreds of stories of corruption emerge from these costly elephants, which evaporate the resources and foreign currency that the country earns from other sources.
And they have proposed, at any cost, to revive them with chauvinist arguments, from the national-socialist mind of Manuel Bartlet, a regular in Carl Schmidt, the evil thinker of Nazism. Decades after these measures of state control, they want to force what can never be, that the government on behalf of the state manage a company, not even peanuts, because it goes bankrupt.
The supporters club reform that limited the monopoly of CFE a little, giving a breath of oxygen to that gangster bureaucracy, through private capital; by proving that the scheme works, and that it began to produce more energy and dividends; the government, as always, wants it all, once again the monopoly, which they had for half a century and which they could not take off. It's not worth it.
They want to bring the ironed-out counter-reform to Congress, but they need more votes than Morena and allies have, because a qualified majority is needed, that's why Ignacio Mier, people from Bartlet, is there, as leader of the government supporters; and they have already convinced Rubén Moreira, the head of the PRI deputies, as long as those from Morena give them the Hidalgo government for his wife, Carolina Viggiano, number two in the national PRI. That's how crude they are.
And the US appears to them, declaring that they do not want a negative impact, as the Secretary of Energy of that country, Jennifer M. Granholm, told all Mexican officials in all forums in January.
Until then, it was clear that the negative impact of the counter-reform is something weighed, that it affects the trade agreement that we have.
A few days ago, the US ambassador, Ken Salazar, was surprised by declaring that: “the electrical reform is necessary”; Obrador praised him: "Very good, Ken." He argued that it was an instrument from 2013, which should be reviewed. Perceptive analysts do not see a contradiction, because they assume, and not badly, that the aforementioned reform has elements that do not break with the interests of investors, especially those from the United States and Canada. Perhaps they will affect others like Iberdola.
The version has the antecedent that is related to the supporters' club reform, with the manufacture of Hillary Clinton's advisers; as posted on underground but widely read blogs in Washington. Never denied. It would not be ruled out that a new reform would touch on issues in depth, even more than the previous one, with external authorship addendums.
Finally, it is evident that the presence today of John Kerry in the National Palace is to point out the geopolitical interests of the tripartite society between Mexico, the United States and Canada. The environmental issue stands out, because he is Biden's manager in relation to climate change, but the fact that Kerry knows in depth the entrails of the current energy agreement and has plenty of experience, he replaced Clinton in the Department of State, and their badge is go for clean energy. He does not agree with Bartlet, promoter of fuel oil and coal.
What results, apart from the speeches and smiles of drawer, will surely question the electrical reform as the Nahle-Bartlet binomial had imagined it. I think Obrador will give in, but he will also force the absurdity of continuing to throw money at the heavy burden that CFE represents. It is a mistake, but he pays for Mexico by following its leader. It's our ticket. What if it is true the partners are not going to pay for our mistakes, that is something else.
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