The Commons will investigate whether Johnson lied to Parliament

Boris Johnson fails to remove the partygate from above The House of Commons has decided to investigate whether the British Prime Minister lied to Parliament by stating categorically that there were no illegal parties in Downing Street during the pandemic and that social distancing rules were not breached. If deputies conclude that he deliberately misrepresented what happened, he will most likely be forced to resign.

Johnson was thousands of miles away, in India, when the Commons approved the Labor motion without so much as a vote. It was a severe blow to the conservative leader, who had tried to strictly impose party discipline and forced all deputies Tories to vote against the initiative, under threat of expulsion. But, as on previous occasions, his own soldiers mutinied.

Johnson’s survival depends on the difference between “misreporting” and lying outright

He premieres a born survivor, a firm believer that if you hold on to your chair, the hurricane will eventually pass and you’ll stay where you are. It’s a tactic that has worked well for him throughout his career. Without going any further, he was on the ropes in the partygate when the Russian invasion of Ukraine occurred in the most opportune manner for its interests, opening the door to the argument that a war on European soil – and its secondary effects on energy costs and inflation – is not the best time to a change of leader.

Boris Johnson has so far survived becoming the country’s first leader to be punished for breaking the law while in office (he has already received a €60 fine from Scotland Yard for participating in his own birthday party during the pandemic). ), convincing enough deputies and voters that it is really like a parking ticket, or at most for jumping a traffic light or speeding. Something that is not right, but it is not something to put your hands to your head, it can happen to anyone.

But lying to Parliament is much more serious, and there he would have to resort to all his conjuring skills to avoid falling. The Commons decided to put the matter in the hands of a seven-member committee that is charged with overseeing the code of conduct, and punishing those who break it. Its president, Labor Chris Bryant, has recused himself for his harsh public criticism of the prime minister, which could call into question his impartiality. So the investigation will be carried out by six MPs (four of them Conservatives), and will be chaired by a staunch Brexiteer and furious Eurosceptic, Bernard Jenkins.

The majority tory and the fact that the process will not begin until Scotland Yard’s investigation has been concluded (which will surely impose more fines) plays in Johnson’s favor, but not the fact that the committee is characterized by its non-partisan neutrality with respect to in order to preserve ethical standards in the legislative power. His fate has always depended on the hosts Tories , whether they determine that they have a better chance of winning the next election and saving their seats without Boris than with Boris. A trial that is still pending resolution.

Johnson is going to try to persuade the committee that he may have “misinformed Parliament”, but not in a deliberate way. The key to everything is going to be in intentionality. On whether investigators accept that the prime minister’s statements regarding the holidays were simply unintentional errors, or whether he lied like a crook to save his own skin.